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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2017-05-23T06:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2017-05-23T06:00Z
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2017-05-27T14:47Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2017-05-26T12:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 20.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note: 
:Issued: 2017 May 24 1324 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE  from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)         #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
Slow partial halo CME, with projected speed of about 192 km/s and angular
width of about 122 degree, was detected by CACTUS at 05:24 UT on
23-May-2017. The CME first seen as the clear large-scale dimming at EUV
solar disk images (PROBA2/SWAP and SDO/AIA) is associated with an eruption
near solar disk centre. WSA-ENLIL model indicates the possible CME arrival
at Earth around noon on 26-May-2017. Active geomagnetic conditions may be
expected, with an isolated episode of a minor storm.
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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Lead Time: 73.38 hour(s)
Difference: 26.78 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Yaireska Collado (M2M Office) on 2017-05-24T13:24Z
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